{"id":73172,"date":"2023-10-30T14:00:19","date_gmt":"2023-10-30T13:00:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/botland.com.pl\/blog\/prawo-gordona-moorea-50-lat-pozniej\/"},"modified":"2026-04-08T11:03:49","modified_gmt":"2026-04-08T09:03:49","slug":"mooreuv-zakon-o-50-let-pozdeji","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/botland.cz\/blog\/mooreuv-zakon-o-50-let-pozdeji\/","title":{"rendered":"Moore\u016fv z\u00e1kon o 50 let pozd\u011bji"},"content":{"rendered":"\u010cas \u010dten\u00ed:<\/span> 5<\/span> min.<\/span><\/span>\t\t
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V posledn\u00edch n\u011bkolika desetilet\u00edch pro\u0161el sv\u011bt technologi\u00ed pozoruhodnou revoluc\u00ed<\/strong>, kter\u00e1 v mnoha ohledech zm\u011bnila n\u00e1\u0161 \u017eivot. J\u00e1drem t\u00e9to revoluce je jeden princip,<\/strong> kter\u00fd jako by neust\u00e1le prov\u00e1zel technologick\u00fd v\u00fdvoj a ovliv\u0148oval na\u0161i ka\u017edodenn\u00ed zku\u0161enost – Moor\u016fv<\/strong> z\u00e1kon<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Tento term\u00edn, kter\u00fd ozna\u010duje po\u010det tranzistor\u016f<\/strong> v integrovan\u00fdch obvodech, zavedl spoluzakladatel spole\u010dnosti Intel Corporation Gordon<\/strong> Moore<\/strong> ji\u017e v roce 1965 a prov\u00e1z\u00ed tuto technologii dodnes. V posledn\u00edch letech se v\u0161ak st\u00e1le \u010dast\u011bji oz\u00fdvaj\u00ed hlasy a teorie, kter\u00e9 tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee dny sl\u00e1vy Moorova z\u00e1kona jsou pry\u010d.<\/p>\n

V tomto \u010dl\u00e1nku proto rozebereme,<\/strong> jak z\u00e1kon Gordona Moora ovlivnil v\u00fdvoj po\u010d\u00edta\u010d\u016f, smartphon\u016f, ale i v\u011bdeck\u00fdch obor\u016f, jako je medic\u00edna, fyzika a mnoho dal\u0161\u00edch. D\u00e1le se pokus\u00edme odpov\u011bd\u011bt na ot\u00e1zky<\/strong> – M\u016f\u017eeme je\u0161t\u011b o\u010dek\u00e1vat, \u017ee se technologick\u00fd pokrok bude zrychlovat tempem, kter\u00e9 p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dal spoluzakladatel spole\u010dnosti Intel? Existuj\u00ed omezen\u00ed a probl\u00e9my, kter\u00e9 to mohou ovlivnit? Zvu v\u00e1s, abyste se bl\u00ed\u017ee sezn\u00e1mili s Moorov\u00fdm z\u00e1konem, pochopili jeho dopad a v\u00fdznam a zamysleli se nad nepochybn\u011b digit\u00e1ln\u00ed budoucnost\u00ed.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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Moor\u016fv z\u00e1kon - znalosti a posteriori<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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Post\u0119puj\u0105ca miniaturyzacja jest nieunikniona \u2013 jest to stwierdzenie granicz\u0105ce niemal z pewno\u015bci\u0105.<\/figcaption>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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Moor\u016fv<\/strong>z\u00e1kon<\/strong>, pojmenovan\u00fd po Gordonu Moorovi, spoluzakladateli spole\u010dnosti Intel a jednom z pr\u016fkopn\u00edk\u016f mikroprocesorov\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu, je empirick\u00fd<\/strong> princip<\/strong>, kter\u00fd se t\u00fdk\u00e1 rychlosti technologick\u00e9ho v\u00fdvoje v elektronice. Gordon Moore tento princip poprv\u00e9 formuloval v roce 1965 na str\u00e1nk\u00e1ch \u010dasopisu Electronics, kde popsal pozorov\u00e1n\u00ed, \u017ee po\u010det<\/strong> tranzistor\u016f<\/strong> v integrovan\u00fdch obvodech se zdvojn\u00e1sobuje ka\u017ed\u00fdch zhruba 18-24 m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f. V praxi to znamen\u00e1, \u017ee ka\u017ed\u00fdch n\u011bkolik<\/strong> let<\/strong> obsahuj\u00ed nov\u00e9 \u010dipy dvakr\u00e1t v\u00edce tranzistor\u016f ne\u017e jejich p\u0159edch\u016fdci.<\/p>\n

Moor\u016fv z\u00e1kon je tak\u00e9 \u010dasto interpretov\u00e1n<\/strong> tak, \u017ee v\u00fdpo\u010detn\u00ed v\u00fdkon po\u010d\u00edta\u010d\u016f a elektronick\u00fdch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed exponenci\u00e1ln\u011b<\/strong> roste, co\u017e n\u00e1sledn\u011b vede ke st\u00e1le rychlej\u0161\u00edm, efektivn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm a men\u0161\u00edm elektronick\u00fdm za\u0159\u00edzen\u00edm. Tato pr\u00e1ce vych\u00e1z\u00ed z p\u016fvodn\u00edch<\/strong> pozorov\u00e1n\u00ed Gordona Moora, kter\u00e1 byla zam\u011b\u0159ena v\u00fdhradn\u011b na po\u010d\u00edta\u010dov\u00fd<\/strong> pr\u016fmysl<\/strong>, ale postupem \u010dasu se uk\u00e1zalo, \u017ee n\u00e1r\u016fst po\u010dtu tranzistor\u016f v integrovan\u00fdch obvodech je t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 toto\u017en\u00fd pro cel\u00fd polovodi\u010dov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl a ovliv\u0148uje rozvoj mnoha obor\u016f, jako jsou telekomunikace, medic\u00edna, t\u011b\u017ek\u00fd pr\u016fmysl a dokonce i energetika. Je v\u0161ak t\u0159eba m\u00edt na pam\u011bti, \u017ee mezi tvrzen\u00ed o po\u010dtu prvk\u016f v \u010dipu a v\u00fdpo\u010detn\u00edm v\u00fdkonu nelze kl\u00e1st znak rovnomocnosti<\/strong>. V\u00fdpo\u010detn\u00ed v\u00fdkon z\u00e1vis\u00ed na mnoha<\/strong> faktorech, v\u010detn\u011b architektury centr\u00e1ln\u00ed procesorov\u00e9 jednotky<\/a>, o kter\u00e9 jsem ji\u017e jeden materi\u00e1l p\u0159ipravil. A\u010dkoli v ran\u00fdch<\/strong> f\u00e1z\u00edch technologick\u00e9ho v\u00fdvoje znamenal vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed po\u010det tranzistor\u016f vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed \u00fa\u010dinnost, ji\u017e mnoho let to neplat\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Lze bezpochyby \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee Moor\u016fv z\u00e1kon se stal jak\u00fdmsi paradigmatem<\/strong> pro technologick\u00fd pr\u016fmysl a sm\u011brovkou<\/strong> pro firmy a in\u017een\u00fdry pracuj\u00edc\u00ed na v\u00fdvoji nov\u00fdch technologi\u00ed. V\u00edce ne\u017e p\u016fl stolet\u00ed po formulaci Moorova z\u00e1kona se v\u0161ak objevuj\u00ed ot\u00e1zky o jeho dal\u0161\u00ed platnosti a omezen\u00edch tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 st\u00e1le vysp\u011blej\u0161\u00ed technologii.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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Od dvou tis\u00edc do 10 miliard<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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Gordon Moore (https:\/\/www.oregonlive.com\/business\/2023\/03\/gordon-moore-visionary-intel-co-founder-who-brought-the-company-to-oregon-dies-at-94.html)<\/figcaption>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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P\u0159\u00edb\u011bh Moorova z\u00e1kona je na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhem p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u00ed<\/strong> a p\u0159esn\u00fdch<\/strong> pozorov\u00e1n\u00ed<\/strong>, kter\u00e9 daly vzniknout technologick\u00e9 revoluci, a na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhem jednoho z nejv\u00fdznamn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch myslitel\u016f<\/strong> v oblasti elektroniky, kter\u00fd sv\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u011bdi – p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b d\u00edky potenci\u00e1lu spole\u010dnosti Intel – uskute\u010dnil<\/strong>. Je tak\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edkladem toho, jak m\u016f\u017ee m\u00edt jeden koncept obrovsk\u00fd dopad na n\u00e1\u0161 ka\u017edodenn\u00ed \u017eivot a ovlivnit technologick\u00fd v\u00fdvoj na dal\u0161\u00ed desetilet\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Integrovan\u00e9 obvody pro\u0161ly v pr\u016fb\u011bhu let fascinuj\u00edc\u00edm v\u00fdvojem<\/strong>, kter\u00fd byl hlavn\u00ed hnac\u00ed silou rozvoje mikroelektronick\u00fdch technologi\u00ed a m\u011bl obrovsk\u00fd vliv na v\u00fdvoj po\u010d\u00edta\u010d\u016f a dal\u0161\u00edch elektronick\u00fdch spot\u0159ebi\u010d\u016f ka\u017edodenn\u00ed pot\u0159eby. V 60. letech i 70. XX stolet\u00ed byly integrovan\u00e9 obvody na po\u010d\u00e1tku<\/strong> sv\u00e9ho v\u00fdvoje. Prvn\u00ed n\u00e1vrhy byly relativn\u011b jednoduch\u00e9<\/strong> a skromn\u00e9 co do po\u010dtu tranzistor\u016f. P\u0159\u00edkladem m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt prvn\u00ed komer\u010dn\u011b dostupn\u00fd mikroprocesor Intel<\/strong> 4004<\/strong>, uveden\u00fd na trh v roce 1971, kter\u00fd se skl\u00e1dal z pouh\u00fdch 2300<\/strong> tranzistor\u016f. Krom\u011b toho m\u011bly \u010dipy z tohoto obdob\u00ed omezen\u00e9 pou\u017eit\u00ed, \u010dasto se nach\u00e1zely pouze ve vojensk\u00fdch a pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00edch. Tyto prvn\u00ed kroky v\u0161ak byly pro dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdvoj mikroelektroniky kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Skute\u010dnou revoluc\u00ed,<\/strong> d\u00edky n\u00ed\u017e se p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f Gordona Moora stala skute\u010dnost\u00ed, byla 80. l\u00e9ta 20. stolet\u00ed. Toto obdob\u00ed m\u016f\u017eeme ozna\u010dit jako explozi<\/strong> v\u00fdpo\u010detn\u00edho v\u00fdkonu. Vznikly mikroprocesory, jako nap\u0159\u00edklad Intel<\/strong> 8086<\/strong>, kter\u00e9 byly postaveny d\u00edky stovk\u00e1m tis\u00edc tranzistor\u016f. V tomto obdob\u00ed se osobn\u00ed po\u010d\u00edta\u010de za\u010daly st\u00e1vat st\u00e1le dostupn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi<\/strong> pro \u0161irokou \u0161k\u00e1lu u\u017eivatel\u016f, co\u017e znamenalo za\u010d\u00e1tek digit\u00e1ln\u00ed revoluce.<\/p>\n

S rozvojem mikroelektroniky se integrovan\u00e9 obvody staly mnohem slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi a propracovan\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi a obsahuj\u00ed miliony<\/strong> nebo dokonce miliardy<\/strong> tranzistor\u016f na jedin\u00e9m k\u0159em\u00edkov\u00e9m j\u00e1d\u0159e. Sou\u010dasn\u00e9 procesory mohou m\u00edt dokonce v\u00edce ne\u017e 10<\/strong> miliard<\/strong> tranzistor\u016f, jak ukazuj\u00ed nap\u0159\u00edklad procesory Intel i9 13. a 14. generace.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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Post\u0119puj\u0105ca miniaturyzacja oznacz mo\u017cliwo\u015b\u0107 upakowania jeszcze wi\u0119kszej liczby tranzystor\u00f3w na tej samej powierzchni. <\/figcaption>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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Jedn\u00edm z kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch aspekt\u016f souvisej\u00edc\u00edch s v\u00fdvojem integrovan\u00fdch obvod\u016f je vedle postupn\u00e9ho roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed tak\u00e9 miniaturizace<\/strong>. Neb\u00fdt tohoto procesu, byly by dne\u0161n\u00ed \u010dipy z hlediska plochy k\u0159em\u00edkov\u00e9ho j\u00e1dra mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed a technologick\u00fd v\u00fdvoj diktovan\u00fd Moorov\u00fdm z\u00e1konem by pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nebyl mo\u017en\u00fd<\/strong>. S technologick\u00fdm pokrokem se velikost tranzistor\u016f zmen\u0161ila z mikrometr\u016f<\/strong> na nanometry<\/strong>. To umo\u017enilo um\u00edstit je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce t\u011bchto typ\u016f prvk\u016f na jeden k\u0159em\u00edkov\u00fd substr\u00e1t, co\u017e vedlo ke zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed \u00fa\u010dinnosti a sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed v\u00fdrobn\u00edch n\u00e1klad\u016f. Trouf\u00e1m si tvrdit, \u017ee miniaturizace byla hlavn\u00edm<\/strong> a nezbytn\u00fdm<\/strong> faktorem, kter\u00fd umo\u017enil existenci Moorova z\u00e1kona, a\u010dkoli s bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00edmi se technologick\u00fdmi limity vyvst\u00e1vaj\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed probl\u00e9my, kter\u00e9 mohou v ur\u010dit\u00e9m okam\u017eiku zastavit nebo alespo\u0148 v\u00fdrazn\u011b zbrzdit dal\u0161\u00ed roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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Udr\u017eet tempo - v\u00fdzvy polovodi\u010dov\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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Dne\u0161n\u00ed n\u00e1vrh\u00e1\u0159i a in\u017een\u00fd\u0159i \u010dip\u016f \u010del\u00ed st\u00e1le v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdzv\u00e1m,<\/strong> kdy\u017e se sna\u017e\u00ed udr\u017eet tempo<\/strong> r\u016fstu po\u010dtu tranzistor\u016f v integrovan\u00fdch obvodech, jak p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1 Moor\u016fv z\u00e1kon. A\u010dkoli toto proroctv\u00ed fungovalo po cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed<\/strong>, v posledn\u00edch letech je jeho realizace st\u00e1le obt\u00ed\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed kv\u016fli n\u011bkter\u00fdm z\u00e1sadn\u00edm p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017ek\u00e1m<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Hlavn\u00ed v\u00fdzvou, jej\u00ed\u017e v\u00fdznam jsem ji\u017e zm\u00ednil, je miniaturizace<\/strong>. Tranzistory v integrovan\u00fdch obvodech jsou ji\u017e tak mal\u00e9, \u017ee se pomalu bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edme k fyzik\u00e1ln\u00edm limit\u016fm, tak\u017ee dal\u0161\u00ed zmen\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed je st\u00e1le obt\u00ed\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a n\u00e1kladn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Se zmen\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed se velikost\u00ed tranzistor\u016f nav\u00edc vznikaj\u00ed fyzik\u00e1ln\u00ed<\/strong> probl\u00e9my, jako jsou tunelov\u00e9 efekty, kter\u00e9 mohou ovlivnit stabilitu a v\u00fdkon obvod\u016f.<\/p>\n

Stejn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd je i n\u00e1r\u016fst spot\u0159eby<\/strong> energie. S rostouc\u00edm po\u010dtem tranzistor\u016f v obvodech roste i spot\u0159eba energie. Pot\u0159eba odpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00edho chlazen\u00ed<\/strong> a \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed teploty je st\u00e1le d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed spot\u0159eby energie se st\u00e1v\u00e1 prioritou, a to jak z hlediska \u00fa\u010dinnosti, tak z hlediska udr\u017eitelnosti.<\/p>\n

Je t\u0159eba tak\u00e9 zm\u00ednit, \u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00e9 technologie v\u00fdroby \u010dip\u016f vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed materi\u00e1ly<\/strong> a postupy<\/strong>, kter\u00e9 rovn\u011b\u017e dosahuj\u00ed sv\u00fdch limit\u016f. Pro dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdvoj integrovan\u00fdch obvod\u016f je t\u0159eba vyvinout nov\u00e9 materi\u00e1ly a v\u00fdrobn\u00ed technologie.<\/p>\n

A kone\u010dn\u011b, z ekonomick\u00e9ho<\/strong> hlediska vy\u017eaduje udr\u017een\u00ed tempa r\u016fstu podle Moorova z\u00e1kona zna\u010dn\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed investice do v\u00fdzkumu a v\u00fdvoje. Polovodi\u010dov\u00ed giganti mus\u00ed investovat zna\u010dn\u00e9 prost\u0159edky do nov\u00fdch technologi\u00ed, a konkurence je tak st\u00e1le tvrd\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n

I p\u0159es tyto probl\u00e9my v\u0161ak konstrukt\u00e9\u0159i \u010dip\u016f pokra\u010duj\u00ed v pr\u00e1ci na inovativn\u00edch<\/strong> \u0159e\u0161en\u00edch. P\u0159\u00edkladem jsou tranzistory na b\u00e1zi uhl\u00edkov\u00fdch nanotrubi\u010dek a v\u00fdrobn\u00ed techniky, kter\u00e9 mohou v budoucnu umo\u017enit dal\u0161\u00ed miniaturizaci<\/strong>. Krom\u011b toho se neust\u00e1le vyv\u00edjej\u00ed strategie<\/strong> \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed spot\u0159eby a chlazen\u00ed s c\u00edlem sn\u00ed\u017eit spot\u0159ebu energie a zlep\u0161it v\u00fdkon \u010dipu. V\u00fdzvy a probl\u00e9my jsou nepochybn\u011b zna\u010dn\u00e9, ale bez jejich vy\u0159e\u0161en\u00ed nebude mo\u017en\u00e9 dos\u00e1hnout rychlosti v\u00fdvoje odpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00ed Moorovu z\u00e1konu.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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Plat\u00ed st\u00e1le Moor\u016fv z\u00e1kon?<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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Wykres opisuj\u0105cy wzrost liczby tranzystor\u00f3w w procesorach od lat 70. XX wieku. (https:\/\/www.cnet.com\/tech\/computing\/intel-will-outpace-moores-law-ceo-pat-gelsinger-says\/)<\/figcaption>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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Nen\u00ed pochyb o tom, \u017ee se Moore\u016fv z\u00e1kon v pr\u016fb\u011bhu desetilet\u00ed<\/strong> docela dob\u0159e osv\u011bd\u010dil, ale v posledn\u00edch letech se st\u00e1le \u010dast\u011bji objevuj\u00ed ot\u00e1zky, zda Moore\u016fv z\u00e1kon plat\u00ed dnes,<\/strong> nebo kdy p\u0159estane platit. Toto t\u00e9ma je zdrojem mnoha diskus\u00ed a \u00favah mezi odborn\u00edky na technologie a v\u00fdzkumn\u00edky. Odpov\u011b\u010f na tuto ot\u00e1zku v\u0161ak nen\u00ed zcela jasn\u00e1<\/strong>, existuj\u00ed ur\u010dit\u00e9 n\u00e1znaky, \u017ee tempo r\u016fstu v\u00fdpo\u010detn\u00edho v\u00fdkonu se m\u016f\u017ee v bl\u00edzk\u00e9 budoucnosti zpomalit<\/strong>. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b, jak jsem se ji\u017e zm\u00ednil, v\u00fdpo\u010detn\u00ed v\u00fdkon je pouze jedn\u00edm z aspekt\u016f<\/strong> Moorova z\u00e1kona a vliv teorie spoluzakladatele spole\u010dnosti Intel na dne\u0161n\u00ed \u010dipy je st\u00e1le patrn\u00fd.<\/p>\n

V posledn\u00edch letech do\u0161lo ke znateln\u00e9mu zpomalen\u00ed<\/strong> tempa r\u016fstu po\u010dtu tranzistor\u016f v k\u0159em\u00edkov\u00fdch j\u00e1drech, a to zejm\u00e9na kv\u016fli fyzik\u00e1ln\u00edm omezen\u00edm miniaturizace a rostouc\u00edm v\u00fdrobn\u00edm n\u00e1klad\u016fm. V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b se nejmodern\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u010dipy vyr\u00e1b\u011bj\u00ed v 3nm<\/strong> litografii a je t\u0159eba p\u0159ipomenout, \u017ee se nejedn\u00e1 o velikost jednoho tranzistoru<\/strong>, proto\u017ee ta se pohybuje kolem 48nm<\/strong>. Technologi\u010dt\u00ed inov\u00e1to\u0159i pokra\u010duj\u00ed v pr\u00e1ci na nov\u00fdch technologi\u00edch, jako jsou 3D integrovan\u00e9 obvody nebo materi\u00e1ly, kter\u00e9 se li\u0161\u00ed od tradi\u010dn\u00edch k\u0159em\u00edkov\u00fdch tranzistor\u016f, mo\u017en\u00e1 proto, aby pokra\u010dovali ve zn\u00e1m\u00e9m tempu technologick\u00e9ho r\u016fstu z p\u0159edchoz\u00edch let.<\/p>\n

Moor\u016fv z\u00e1kon sice ji\u017e neplat\u00ed tak jednozna\u010dn\u011b<\/strong> jako v p\u0159edchoz\u00edch letech, ale st\u00e1le je vod\u00edtkem pro v\u00fdvoj technologi\u00ed. Tvrdit, \u017ee je mrtv\u00fd na z\u00e1klad\u011b jedin\u00e9ho GPU, co\u017e se stalo loni (2022) na konferenci Nvidi, je podle m\u011b jen marketingov\u00fd<\/strong> tah. Zda Moor\u016fv z\u00e1kon p\u0159estal platit, budeme moci \u0159\u00edci a\u017e za n\u011bkolik let, pokud bude trend zpomalov\u00e1n\u00ed pokra\u010dovat. I kdy\u017e to m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt i naopak<\/strong> a za n\u011bjak\u00fd \u010das se objev\u00ed n\u011bco, o \u010dem zat\u00edm nev\u00edme, co vyvol\u00e1 dal\u0161\u00ed revoluci ve sv\u011bt\u011b polovodi\u010d\u016f a povede k n\u00e1r\u016fstu potenci\u00e1lu integrovan\u00fdch obvod\u016f, jak\u00fd historie je\u0161t\u011b neza\u017eila.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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Zdroje:<\/p>\n

https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Moore%27s_law<\/p>\n

https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Amdahl%27s_law<\/p>\n

https:\/\/builtin.com\/hardware\/moores-law<\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.wired.com\/story\/moores-law-really-dead\/<\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/terms\/m\/mooreslaw.asphttps:\/\/ourworldindata.org\/moores-law<\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.britannica.com\/technology\/Moores-law<\/p>\n

https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/3_nm_process<\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.oregonlive.com\/business\/2023\/03\/gordon-moore-visionary-intel-co-founder-who-brought-the-company-to-oregon-dies-at-94.html<\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.cnet.com\/tech\/computing\/intel-will-outpace-moores-law-ceo-pat-gelsinger-says\/<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

V posledn\u00edch n\u011bkolika desetilet\u00edch pro\u0161el sv\u011bt technologi\u00ed pozoruhodnou revoluc\u00ed, kter\u00e1 v mnoha ohledech zm\u011bnila n\u00e1\u0161 \u017eivot. J\u00e1drem t\u00e9to revoluce je jeden princip, kter\u00fd jako by neust\u00e1le prov\u00e1zel technologick\u00fd v\u00fdvoj a ovliv\u0148oval na\u0161i ka\u017edodenn\u00ed zku\u0161enost – Moor\u016fv z\u00e1kon.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":72424,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[136,7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-73172","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ciekawostki","category-elektronika"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nMoore\u016fv z\u00e1kon o 50 let pozd\u011bji - Botland<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"V posledn\u00edch n\u011bkolika desetilet\u00edch pro\u0161el sv\u011bt technologi\u00ed pozoruhodnou revoluc\u00ed, kter\u00e1 v mnoha ohledech zm\u011bnila n\u00e1\u0161 \u017eivot. J\u00e1drem t\u00e9to revoluce je jeden princip, kter\u00fd jako by neust\u00e1le prov\u00e1zel technologick\u00fd v\u00fdvoj a ovliv\u0148oval na\u0161i ka\u017edodenn\u00ed zku\u0161enost - Moor\u016fv z\u00e1kon.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/botland.cz\/blog\/mooreuv-zakon-o-50-let-pozdeji\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Moore\u016fv z\u00e1kon o 50 let pozd\u011bji - Botland\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"V posledn\u00edch n\u011bkolika desetilet\u00edch pro\u0161el sv\u011bt technologi\u00ed pozoruhodnou revoluc\u00ed, kter\u00e1 v mnoha ohledech zm\u011bnila n\u00e1\u0161 \u017eivot. 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